EVERY WEEK.
EARN YOUR LAP.

Victory Lap compares the full-game projections for each team’s selected starters using this league’s scoring. These are rough estimates, not live in-game odds: current scores and remaining game time are not included. Projections may change during the week.

The model assumes independent, normally distributed player scores, with a standard deviation of 60% of projected points (minimum 5 points). Team variances are added and the projected margin is converted to a win chance, rounded and limited to 1–99%. It is not calibrated against historical results and does not model teammate correlations or tie odds.

Empty starter slots count as zero. Missing projections suppress the estimate. Past weeks show no retrospective prediction. Check lineups and injuries in Sleeper. Estimates refresh with league data every 5 minutes while this page is visible.

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Calculated by Victory Lap. Not supplied or endorsed by Kalshi or Sleeper.